Automated Forex Trading | SystemTraderFX

Case Study: Trader A

By The SystemTraderFX Team on December 14, 2008 at 5:32 pm | Filed under Tutorial
This entry is part 2 of 4 in the series Building and Testing a Portfolio

Trader A is very risk conscious as he has a small account balance of $2K.

His primary concern is capital preservation. He does not mind lower returns as long as capital is well guarded.

After studying the performance tab, he feels that he should not be using leverage higher than 5:1, so he is looking for a system that only opens one position at a time, therefore limiting his positions to $10,000.

He scrolls through performance searching for a system with a low drawdown and only one max position.

He has identified 3 possible candidates for his portfolio. Tecnofinanaz EURUSD, Quants VIP NZDUSD, and Prosignal EURJPY - all with a drawdown below 400 pips and only one max position.

Trader A now decides to test these systems in the portfolio builder section of the platform, to see what his equity curve would have looked like over that past number of months and help him decide which system might be best for him.

Trader A selects candidate one, Tecnofinanzas EURUSD from the add new system (fig.i) tab in portfolio screen and sets his money management to 10K for this pair (fig ii).

He adds the system to his account and pulls up the equity curve from the start of the year (fig iv).

Trader A now sees that if he had started trading this system from the start his $2000 would have grown to $3700 without reinvestment.

From the graph he can also deduce that the worst drawdown period he would have lost -342 pips or $342, representing a 17% loss on his account.

The client can modify and redraw the chart by changing the balance and press the redraw (PE Curve) button:

He now proceeds to plot each of the other two candidates in the same manner and decides that the three systems have great potential. To see how they would perform together he plots all three systems in the same graph to see the effect on a $2000 account.

The combination of the systems has increased the $2000 account to approx $5800 with a smoother equity curve along the way.

However, Trader A is unsure about allocating 30k to his $2000 account, as this would increase his leverage to 15:1 ($30,000/$2,000), due to the fact that if all 3 systems had a drawdown at the same time he could be facing loses greater >1000pips, or over 50% of his account.

Trader A decides that he would feel more comfortable with 3 systems for diversification, but uncomfortable with 50% loss a potential risk. He decides in the end to keep all 3 systems but increase his balance to $4000, reducing leverage to 7.5:1 and reducing the potential drawdown to 25% of his balance, so he redraws with $4000 start point.

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